Will a football transfer exceeding €100 million occur during the 2025 summer transfer window?

The window has already produced a headline move: Florian Wirtz has joined Liverpool from Bayer Leverkusen for €125 million. Several more big-money deals are reportedly in the pipeline. The market resolves to YES if, between 00:00 UTC on 5 July 2025 and 23:59 UTC on 2 September 2025, any club officially announces a transfer whose fee, as listed by Transfermarkt, exceeds €100 million (excluding bonuses). Data source: Transfermarkt, “Top transfers,” summer 25/26.

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