Following OpenAI’s release of GPT-5, competition among leading AI providers has intensified. Users expect updates across major model families.

The market will resolve to YES for a given option if, between 00:01 ET on August 12, 2025 and 23:59 ET on the date specified by that option, Google announces and actually provides public access to Gemini 3.0, including an open beta or an open waitlist; closed betas and any form of private access do not count. Gemini 3.0 means a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (including variants such as Gemini 3.0 Pro) or an officially recognized successor to Gemini 2.0; products labeled Gemini 2.5 or similar do not count.

Data source: official Google resources (the Google and Google AI blogs, product pages, update centers, and verified Google accounts on X and other official channels), with additional verification based on consensus reporting by reputable news agencies.