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Will the conflict in Ukraine be frozen by June 2025?

The market will resolve as &quot;Yes&quot; if, by May 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC), an official document is signed between Russia and Ukraine, explicitly confirming the suspension, cessation, or freezing of hostilities.By &quot;signing,&quot; it is understood that there must be a documented written agreement confirmed by both parties.If there is no clear written confirmation from both parties involved in the conflict, the event will not be considered fulfilled, and the market will resolve as &quot;No.&quot; The following sources will be used to determine the event&#39;s outcome:Official publications or statements from representatives of the parties to the conflict, including signed documents or official government resources.Independent international news agencies with a high degree of credibility (e.g., Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, BBC).

Increase

What will be the key interest rate of the Bank of Russia in June, 2025?

Decrease

Remain unchanged

The Board of Directors of the Bank of Russia will hold a meeting on June 6, 2025, to decide on the key interest rate.  The current rate, set on April 25, 2025, is 21%.  Market resolution: If the rate exceeds 21%, the outcome will be &quot;Increase.&quot; If the rate falls below 21%, the outcome will be &quot;Decrease.&quot; In all other cases, the outcome will be &quot;Remain the same.&quot;   The official source for market resolution is the &quot;Key Rate&quot; section on the Bank of Russia&#39;s website: https://www.cbr.ru/.

Will Trump tighten sanctions on Russia before June 2025?

The market will resolve as “Yes” if, on or before May 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC), an official document, statement, or directive is published by the President of the United States, the U.S. Department of State, the U.S. Department of the Treasury, or another authorized agency confirming either:– the imposition of new sanctions against the Russian Federation, or– the expansion of existing sanctions (including the addition of new individuals, sectors, or restrictions).If no such confirmation is issued by the deadline, the market will resolve as “No.” Source of Resolution:Official publications on the websites of the White House (whitehouse.gov), U.S. Department of State (state.gov), or U.S. Department of the Treasury (treasury.gov), as well as recognized international media (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal), provided they include a direct reference to the original source.

Will there be a recession in the U.S. in 2025?

Amid global instability and rising trade barriers, economic risks in the U.S. have significantly increased. In April 2025, Goldman Sachs raised its estimate of a U.S. recession occurring within the year to 45%, citing heightened political uncertainty, declining capital expenditures, tighter financial conditions, and new tariffs. Participants are invited to predict whether a recession will be officially recognized in the U.S. in 2025.Market Resolution Criteria:The market will resolve as “Yes” if, on or before December 31, 2025, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) officially declares that a recession began in 2025 — even if the announcement or wording is issued retroactively or clarified later.In all other cases, the market will resolve as “No.” For the purposes of this market, a recession is defined by the NBER as a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, and typically reflected in real GDP, employment, industrial production, and other key indicators. The sole resolution source is an official statement from the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), published on its website: https://www.nber.org/.Supporting sources such as The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, CNBC, and Reuters may be used only if they include a direct reference to NBER’s position.

Will TON’s Market Cap Exceed $13 Billion by June 2025?

The market resolves as “Yes” if Toncoin’s (TON) market capitalization reaches or exceeds $13 billion on or before May 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC), according to the data displayed at https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/toncoin. If Toncoin’s market capitalization stays below $13 billion by that time, the market resolves as “No.” CoinMarketCap serves as the only source for resolution. Data from other aggregators, exchanges, or analytics platforms do not apply. The relevant figure is the “Market Cap” shown on the listed CoinMarketCap page.

Will there be any territorial changes in Russia in 2025?

"his market will resolve to ""Yes"" if territorial changes occur in the Russian Federation by December 31, 2025, at 23:59 (UTC). Otherwise, this market will resolve to ""No.""

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation or a signed document confirming the annexation of new territories by the Russian Federation, or another reliable source of information."

Apple

Largest Company end of 2025?

Microsoft

NVIDIA

Alphabet

Amazon

The market will resolve in favor of the company whose market capitalization is the highest among the listed outcomes as of December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC. Definition of Market Capitalization:Market capitalization is defined as the officially reported value calculated by multiplying the total number of outstanding common shares by the share price at market close on the final trading day of 2025. Source of Resolution:The primary source is the aggregated market capitalization data available at https://companiesmarketcap.com/ as of December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC. If the site is unavailable or presents significant discrepancies, data from leading financial information providers may be used, including but not limited to: Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, and official company filings. Additional Provisions:– Only companies listed in the outcomes are considered. If a company not included in the list has a higher market cap, it will not affect market resolution.– If one or more listed companies cease public trading of their shares on or before December 31, 2025, they will be automatically excluded from consideration.

$50,000 or lower

What price will Bitcoin (BTC) break in 2025?

$130,000 or higher

$150,000 or higher

$200,000 or higher

In 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) once again became the center of attention for investors, analysts, and the crypto community. After breaking the $100,000 level at the end of 2024 and experiencing a record inflow of institutional funds through ETFs, opinions are divided: some predict a price surge to $200,000 and beyond, while others anticipate a correction below $70,000 due to potential macroeconomic shocks.

The market will be resolved based on the "Closing" price of the 1-minute BTCUSDT candle on Binance, recorded between March 26 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC.

The market will resolve as "Below $50,000" if the lowest candle price within the specified period reaches $50,000 or lower. Otherwise, it will resolve as "No".
The market will resolve as "Above $130,000" if the highest candle price within the specified period reaches $130,000 or higher. Otherwise, it will resolve as "No".
The market will resolve as "Above $150,000" if the highest candle price within the specified period reaches $150,000 or higher. Otherwise, it will resolve as "No".
The market will resolve as "Above $200,000" if the highest candle price within the specified period reaches $200,000 or higher. Otherwise, it will resolve as "No".


The final price will be determined based on Binance exchange data, available on the page:
🔗 https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTCUSDT
with the "1m" timeframe and "Candlesticks" selected in the top panel.

Will the US lift sanctions on some Russian companies/banks before June 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. government officially announces the lifting of sanctions on one or more Russian companies or banks from April 1 to May 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC.If no such announcement is made by that time, the market will resolve to “No.” Resolution sources include official U.S. government statements, signed documents, or reports from credible and verifiable sources.

Will Solana's TVL reach at least 50% of Ethereum's TVL in 2025?

In 2025, the competition between Ethereum and Solana in the DeFi sector intensifies. TVL (Total Value Locked) measures the total amount of assets locked in a platform’s smart contracts. Solana is rapidly expanding its DeFi volumes, while Ethereum continues to hold a substantial lead. The market resolves based on Solana’s share of total value locked (TVL) relative to Ethereum’s TVL, recorded on or before December 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC), according to DefiLlama (https://defillama.com/).  The ratio of these blockchains’ TVLs at any moment up to December 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC) applies. Data from other aggregators or platforms are not considered. Only the “Total Value Locked” (TVL) metric is taken into account.

More 10%

Will inflation in Russia exceed 10% by the end of 2025?

Below 10%

In December 2024, the official inflation rate in Russia was 9.5% (according to the Central Bank of Russia).
The market will resolve based on the inflation rate as of December 31, 2025, at 23:59 UTC:
If inflation is higher than 10%, the outcome will be "More 10%."
If inflation is lower than 10%, the outcome will be "Below 10%"
The source of resolution is the inflation figure (% year-over-year) from the "Key Interest Rate and Inflation" section on the official website of the Central Bank of Russia: https://www.cbr.ru/hd_base/infl/

Above 26 139 BTC

Will there be a record-breaking Bitcoin (BTC) transaction by July 2025?

Large transactions on the Bitcoin network often indicate significant capital movements. On February 23, 2024, a new record was set for a single transaction amounting to $1,347 billion — 26 139 BTC. Such operations often lead to noticeable price changes and signal potential market shifts.

This market will resolve as "YES" if an official announcement is made about a transaction exceeding 26 139 BTC by July 31, 2025, at 23:59 UTC.
In all other cases, this market will resolve as "NO."

The event will be resolved based on data from analytical platforms (e.g., Santiment, Glassnode, CoinDesk, ForkLog, or others) confirming the maximum volume of a single Bitcoin transaction on the network before July 31, 2025. Only the largest transaction during the specified period will be considered.

Additional verification will be conducted through the BTC scanner - https://www.blockchain.com/ru/explorer and by cross-checking the largest transactions of the day at https://getblock.net/btc.

Will the Digital Ruble Launch at Scale by the End of 2025?

The launch of the digital ruble in Russia was originally scheduled for July 1, 2025, but in February 2025, Central Bank head Elvira Nabiullina announced a delay with no new date provided. The digital ruble has been in testing since 2022, with a pilot program involving banks, businesses, and individuals running since August 2023. The Central Bank has stated it will only move to full rollout after a thorough review of all technological and economic aspects.


Market Resolution Criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Central Bank of Russia officially announces the launch of the digital ruble for public use on or before December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC.

If the launch is officially postponed beyond that date or no announcement is made by then, the market will resolve to “No.”

Resolution sources: official statements from the Central Bank of Russia, published on the regulator’s official website (www.cbr.ru) or reported by reputable media outlets.

Krasnodar

Who will become the Champion in the RPL (Russian Premier League) in 2025?

Zenit

Spartak Moscow

Dynamo Moscow

Lokomotiv Moscow

CSKA

The market will resolve as "Yes" if the Russian Premier League (RPL) officially announces the winner by May 24, 2025, 23:59 UTC. In all other cases, the market will resolve as "No."
Resolution sources — official documents from the RPL or publicly reliable information sources.

More 5%

How will Kazakhstan's GDP change in 2025?

Less than or equal to 5%

For 2024, Kazakhstan's GDP growth (IFO growth) was 4.1% (according to the National Statistics Bureau).

The market will resolve based on the data as of December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC:

If the IFO GDP growth exceeds 5%, the outcome will be “More 5%”. 
If the IFO GDP growth is less than or equal to 5%, the outcome will be “Less than or equal to 5%”. 
The source for this market resolution will be the “IFO GDP Growth” chart on the National Statistics Bureau of Kazakhstan's website, section “GDP”: https://stat.gov.kz/ru/

Will Ronaldo have scored 1000 goals in just his base by the end of the 25?

"If Ronaldo officially scores 1,000 goals before December 31 at 23:59 (UTC), the market will settle as ‘Yes.’

In all other cases, the market will settle as ‘No.’

The resolution source for this market will be public information sources or an official press release."

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?

"This market will resolve to ""Yes"" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to serve as President of Ukraine by June 30, 2025, 23:59 (UTC).
Otherwise, this market will resolve to ""No.""

An official announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before the end date of this market will immediately resolve this market to ""Yes,"" regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be an official statement from the Ukrainian government, a signed document, or another reliable source of information."

There would be an Аltseason

Will There Be an Altseason in 2025?

This market will resolve as "Yes" if a 1-minute Binance candle for SOLUSDT reaches a closing price of $350.01 or higher by December 31, 2025, at 23:59 UTC, or at any time before this from the start of trading. Alternatively, if a 1-minute Binance candle for ETHUSDT reaches a closing price of $4500.01 or higher by December 31, 2025, at 23:59 UTC, or at any time before this from the start of trading, the market will also resolve as "Yes." Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the closing prices of SOLUSDT, which are currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOLUSDT, or the closing prices of ETHUSDT, available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETHUSDT, with the "1m" time frame and "Candlesticks" selected on the top panel.

Will a Solana (SOL) ETF Be Approved by December 31, 2025?

Will a Solana (SOL) ETF Be Approved in 2025?

Conditions and Event Execution Rules: The market resolves as “Yes” if, on or before December 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC), the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) formally approves the issuance of at least one Solana (SOL)-based ETF, including either spot or futures products. Otherwise, the market resolves as “No.” Resolution Source: Resolution derives solely from the SEC’s official publications (https://www.sec.gov) and corroborations by recognized financial media (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, CNBC). An ETF qualifies as approved only upon receipt of an official notification confirming the SEC’s approval of the respective product.

Will Ethereum ETF Staking Be Approved Before End of May 2025?

Event Conditions and Rules:The market will resolve as “Yes” if, on or before May 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC), the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) formally approves at least one ETF product linked to Ethereum staking yield. This may include a standalone ETF or a modified version of an existing ETH ETF that incorporates staking yield functionality. Otherwise, the market will resolve as “No.” Source of Resolution:Official publications from the SEC (https://www.sec.gov), as well as reporting from leading financial media outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, CNBC), provided they explicitly confirm the approval of an Ethereum staking ETF by the SEC or another authorized U.S. regulatory body.

Barcelona

Who will win the UEFA Champions League in 2025?

Paris Saint-Germain

Arsenal

Inter Milan

Event Conditions and Rules:The market will resolve in favor of the club officially declared the winner of the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League final, scheduled for May 31, 2025. Source of Resolution:The official source for resolution is the UEFA website (https://www.uefa.com/), along with confirmation from recognized international sports agencies, including BBC Sport, ESPN, Sky Sports, and Reuters. Additional Provisions: If the match is decided in extra time or by penalty shootout, the winner is the team officially awarded the title by UEFA.If the final is canceled or the tournament is postponed, resolution will be delayed until the official final is held.If the winning team is later disqualified, the outcome will be based on the club to whom UEFA officially awards the title.

Will a criminal case be initiated against Alexey Zhidkovskiy by June 30, 2025?

The market will resolve as “Yes” if, on or before June 30, 2025 (23:59 UTC), there is official confirmation that a criminal case has been initiated against Alexey Zhidkovskiy (also known as blogger Alex Zhidkovskiy). Confirmation may come from the following sources: – Official websites of the Prosecutor General’s Office of the Russian Federation, the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation, or other authorized government bodies;– Publications by registered federal media outlets that directly cite an official statement or comment from a competent authority confirming the initiation of a criminal case against Zhidkovskiy. If no such confirmation is available by June 30, 2025, the market will resolve as “No.” Additional Provisions: – The criminal case must be initiated in accordance with the Criminal Procedure Code of the Russian Federation. Reports of preliminary checks, pre-investigation reviews, or administrative proceedings do not qualify as grounds to resolve the market as “Yes.”– If a criminal case is opened against the individual for reasons unrelated to publicly discussed matters, the market still resolves as “Yes.”– If the case is initiated after June 30, 2025, it will have no impact on the outcome of the market.

"Lokomotiv" Yaroslavl

Who will win the Gagarin Cup in the 2024/2025 season?

"Traktor" Chelyabinsk

The Gagarin Cup is a hockey prize awarded to the winner of the Kontinental Hockey League playoffs, starting with the 2008/09 season.The cup is named after the first cosmonaut Yuri Gagarin, and is a challenge cup. The market will be resolved in favor of the hockey club that is officially declared the winner of the Gagarin Cup of the 2024-2025 season.A series of up to 4 wins by one of the teams. The maximum possible seventh match of the series will be held until May 25, 23:59 (UTC) 2025. Source of the resolution:The official source of the resolution will be the official website of the Kontinental Hockey League (https://www.khl.ru/) Additional Provisions:– In the event of a cancellation or postponement of one of the matches of the final series to a later date, the resolution will be postponed until the official results are summed up and the winner of the Gagarin Cup of the 2024-2025 season is determined.– If the final series of the season is not played to the end and the official champion is not determined, the market will remain open until the winner is officially confirmed.– In the event of the season being declared invalid or cancelled without a winner being determined, the market will be declared invalid.

Olympiacos

Who will be the winner of the Euroleague basketball in the 2024/2025 season?

Fenerbahçe

Panathinaikos

Monaco

The Euroleague is a European basketball tournament among professional men&#39;s clubs from countries that are members of FIBA ​​Europe. The market will be resolved in favor of the basketball club that is officially declared the winner of the Euroleague Basketball season 2024-2025, which will be held before May 25, 23:59 (UTC) 2025. Source of the resolution:The official source of the resolution will be the official website of the Euroleague Basketball (https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/) Additional Provisions:– In the event of a cancellation or postponement of one of the matches of the final series to a later date, the resolution will be postponed until the official results are summed up and the winner of the Gagarin Cup of the 2024-2025 season is determined.– If the final series of the season is not played to the end and the official champion is not determined, the market will remain open until the winner is officially confirmed.– In the event of the season being declared invalid or cancelled without a winner being determined, the market will be declared invalid.

Will the US officially recognize the State of Palestine before May 31, 2025?

The State of Palestine is a de facto independent, partially recognized state in the Middle East that is in the process of being created. The independence of Palestine has been recognized by more than 145 of the 193 UN member states.One of the key positions on this issue is the recognition of Palestine by the United States.And the 47th President of the United States, Donald Trump, recently reiterated his readiness to recognize the State of Palestine. The market will resolve &quot;Yes&quot; if the United States officially recognizes the State of Palestine by May 31, 23.59 (UTC) 2025?The market will resolve &quot;No&quot; in all other cases. Source of resolution:The official source of resolution will be the official website of the US Presidential Administration (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) Additional provisions:If there is no official press release from the US administration on the website, the answer will be considered &quot;NO&quot;.

Less than 3350 $

What will be the gold rate on May 20, 2025?

3350 $ or more

The price of gold is monitored by financial markets around the world. Gold was the basis of the market economy for many hundreds of years before the abolition of the gold standard. In the periodic table of chemical elements, gold is denoted by the symbol &quot;AU&quot;, and the common criterion for measuring the price of gold throughout the world is the US dollar. Gold is a classic safe haven asset and in 2025 the rate has already increased by more than 27%. This market will resolve based on the spot price of gold in U.S. dollars (XAU/USD) as of May 20, 2025, at 23:59 UTC.The official reference value will be the “Gold Price in USD per Ounce” (spot price) published on https://www.investing.com/commodities/gold. If that source is unavailable, a reliable international market data source—such as TradingView, Bloomberg, or MarketWatch—may be used as a fallback.Resolution Criteria: – If the gold price at 23:59 UTC on May 20, 2025, is below $3,350 per troy ounce, the outcome “Below $3,350” will resolve as Yes, and “$3,350 or above” as No. – If the price is $3,350 or higher, the outcome “$3,350 or above” will resolve as Yes, and “Below $3,350” as No.Additional Provisions: – Only the spot price of gold in USD per troy ounce is considered. – In case of discrepancies between sources, Investing.com takes precedence. – If data is temporarily unavailable at exactly 23:00 UTC, the nearest available price within a 5-minute window (22:59–23:04 UTC) will be used. – If no data is available within this window, resolution will be postponed until verified data becomes available.

Will Player 456 (Song Ki Hoon) win the game for the second time in 'Squid Game' Season 3?

The third season of the series &quot;The Squid Game&quot; will premiere on June 27, 2025, on Netflix. The creator of the series Hwang Dong-hyuk has stated that the third season will be the last. Meanwhile, the discussion of the future plot is gaining momentum online: users are actively putting forward theories, asking questions about the development of events, and perhaps the most popular of them sound like this: will player 456 (Song Ki-hoon) die in the third season; will player 456 (Song Ki-hoon) become the winner of the game for the second time; will player 001 (In-ho\Oh Young-il) return to the competition; will player 456 (Song Ki-hoon) become the new Frontman. The market will resolve to &quot;Yes&quot; if player 456 (Son Ki-hoon) wins the game for the second time in the third season of the series &quot;The Squid Game&quot; which will be released before June 27, 23:59 (UTC) 2025. Source of permission:The official source of permission will be the official website of the IMDB platform (https://www.imdb.com/) Additional provisions:In case the official source of permission does not have information, other reliable sources will be used (Netflix Platform)

Less than 575 000 BTC

How much BTC will Microstrategy (MSTR) own on June 30?

575 000 BTC or more

MicroStrategy is an American company known not only for its business intelligence platform but also for its active investment strategy in Bitcoin. The company currently holds 568,840 BTC. How much Bitcoin will Microstrategy (MSTR) own as of June 30, 2025, 23:59 (UTC)? Source of permission:The official source of permission will be the information on the official page of Microstrategy (MSTR) CEO in the social network X Michael Saylor: (https://x.com/saylor) or in the official site (https://www.strategy.com/). Additional provisions:– In the absence of information on the amount of BTC held by Microstrategy (MSTR) in the source of the market permission, other reliable sources, press releases will be used to select the answer.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Who will win the 2024/2025 NBA season?

Oklahoma City

Boston Celtics

Other club

The National Basketball Association (NBA) is a professional basketball league in North America, particularly the United States and Canada. It was founded in 1946 as the Basketball Association of America and, after merging with the National Basketball League, was renamed the National Basketball Association. The market will be resolved in favor of the basketball club that is officially declared the winner of the 2024-25 National Basketball Association season, which will be held before June 24, 23:59 (UTC) 2025. Source of the resolution:The official source of the resolution will be the official website of the National Basketball Association (https://www.nba.com/) Additional provisions:- In the event of a game being cancelled or postponed to a later date, the resolution will be delayed until the official results are tallied and the winner of the 2024-25 National Basketball Association season is determined.- If the season finale is not played and an official champion is not determined, the market will remain open until the winner is officially confirmed.- In the event of the season being declared void or cancelled without a winner being determined, the market will be considered void.

Oleksandr Usyk

Who will win the heavyweight boxing match between Oleksandr Usyk and Daniel Dubois on July 19?

Daniel Dubois

The market will resolve as “Yes” for the corresponding outcome if the specified fighter is officially declared the winner based on the result of the bout scheduled to take place on July 19, 2025, regardless of location or outcome type (judges’ decision, technical knockout, knockout, corner retirement, disqualification, etc.).Resolution sources: – The official website of the event organizer or the promotional company (e.g., Top Rank, Matchroom, Queensberry Promotions, etc.); – Reputable sports media outlets: ESPN, BoxingScene, DAZN, The Ring Magazine, BoxRec; – In case of discrepancies, information from the fight organizers or the boxing commissions that issued the result shall take precedence.Additional provisions: – If the bout does not take place on July 19, 2025 but is officially rescheduled to a different date, the market will remain open until the fight concludes. – If the bout is canceled without being rescheduled, all outcomes will resolve as “No.” – If the bout concludes without an official winner being declared (e.g., technical draw, no contest, disqualification of both fighters, etc.), all outcomes will resolve as “No.”Important: This event is published strictly in a sports-related context. It does not touch upon political topics, express any opinions, or make judgments regarding any state, social, or other matters.

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