Image - What will be the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate decision in September?
What will be the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate decision in September?
Resolution date
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Outcome
Chance (Yes)
Increase
4%
No change
60%
Decrease
39%
Rules

The federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and serves as the benchmark at which commercial banks lend their excess reserves. At its most recent meeting, the FOMC left the target range unchanged at 4.25–4.50 percent. The next meeting is scheduled for September 16–17, 2025.


The market will resolve in favor of the option that matches the action taken by the FOMC (raise, lower, or leave unchanged) on the federal funds target range at its September 16–17, 2025 meeting, regardless of the size of any change in percentage points.


Data source: official information from the Federal Reserve https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm or reports of reputable news agencies such as Reuters, AP, Bloomberg etc.

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