Elections to the National Assembly are nationwide elections to the lower house of the French Parliament. In 2025, amid political uncertainty, there has been public discussion of possible early elections.

The market will resolve to YES for the option “Before September 16” if, between 00:01 ET on August 26, 2025 and 23:59 ET on September 15, 2025, an official date for the next election to the National Assembly of France is publicly announced by a competent authority.

The market will resolve to YES for the option “Before January 1” if, between 00:01 ET on August 26, 2025 and 23:59 ET on December 31, 2025, an official date for the next election to the National Assembly of France is publicly announced by a competent authority.

A public announcement is sufficient; the elections do not need to be held within the stated period.

Data source: official information from the Government of the French Republic (www.info.gouv.fr), the Presidency (elysee.fr), and publications in the Journal officiel de la République française on Legifrance; or corroborating reports from reputable news agencies such as Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, etc.