Image - Which countries will recognize Palestine by the end of the year?
Which countries will recognize Palestine by the end of the year?
Resolution date
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Outcome
Chance (Yes)
Belgium
40,5%
Germany
12,5%
Netherlands
15,5%
Rules

Various countries are considering the possibility of officially recognizing the State of Palestine, which could have a significant impact on their foreign policy and the dynamics of the Middle Eastern settlement. Formal recognition means the establishment of diplomatic relations at the state level and joining those countries that have already recognized Palestinian sovereignty.


The market will resolve to YES for each option separately if, by 11:59 p.m. ET on December 31, 2025, the government of the relevant country publishes a legally binding act recognizing the State of Palestine.


Data source: official information from the governments of the countries; in the absence of direct confirmation - reports from reputable international news agencies.

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