A possible in-person meeting between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping could influence the course of U.S.–China relations. Analysts believe both political and economic aspects of the bilateral agenda may be affected.

The market will resolve to YES if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet in person between 00:01 ET July 21, 2025 and 23:59 ET October 31, 2025, and there is documented direct interaction such as an exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other confirmed personal contact. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO.

Data source: official statements from the press offices of Donald Trump and the Government of the People’s Republic of China, or reports of reputable news agencies such as Reuters, Associated Press, or Bloomberg.