France is considering officially recognizing the State of Palestine, a decision that could significantly influence its foreign policy and the dynamics of the Middle East peace process. Formal recognition would establish state-level diplomatic relations and align France with countries that have already acknowledged Palestinian sovereignty.

The market will resolve to YES if, by 23:59 ET on December 31, 2025, the Government of France publishes a legally binding act recognizing the State of Palestine.

Data source: official information from the Government of France; in the absence of direct confirmation, reports of reputable international news agencies such as Reuters, AP, or Bloomberg.