The European Union is formally preparing its 19th sanctions package against Russia. Ongoing peace efforts, if they show clear progress, could delay a decision, as could resistance from some EU member states.

The market will resolve to YES if, by 23:59 UTC on September 10, 2025, the European Union formally adopts an agreed, EU-level sanctions package against Russia. Sanctions imposed solely by individual member states will not affect resolution.

Data source: official information from the European Union (e.g., European Council or European Commission press releases) or reports of reputable news agencies such as Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, etc.