
In August 2025, President Donald Trump publicly stated his desire to change the name of the United States Department of Defense to the United States Department of War.
The market will resolve to YES if, between 00:01 ET on August 26, 2025 and 23:59 ET on September 30, 2025, Donald Trump signs a federal law or executes an executive action (e.g., an Executive Order, memorandum, proclamation, or other official directive) that changes the official name of the United States Department of Defense. This will count regardless of the stated effective date and even if the change is later delayed, suspended, or blocked.
Data source: official documents and announcements from the White House (whitehouse.gov), publications in the Federal Register (federalregister.gov), and U.S. Department of Defense press releases; or reports of reputable news agencies such as Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, etc.