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Bitcoin Up on July 29?

Bitcoin Up on July 30?

The market will resolve to YES if the closing price (Close) of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle on Binance at 12:00 ET on 30 July 2025 is higher than the closing price (Close) of the candle at 12:00 ET on 29 July 2025. The market will resolve to NO if the closing price (Close) of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle on Binance at 12:00 ET on 30 July 2025 is lower than the closing price (Close) of the candle at 12:00 ET on 29 July 2025. Data source: Binance platform, BTC/USDT pair, displaying the closing price of the 1-minute candle. Link: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT (ensure the “1m” interval and “Candles” view are selected in the top panel).

Ethereum Up on July 30?

The market will resolve to YES if the closing price (Close) of the 1-minute ETH/USDT candle on Binance at 12:00 ET on 30 July 2025 is higher than the closing price (Close) of the candle at 12:00 ET on 29 July 2025. The market will resolve to NO if the closing price (Close) of the 1-minute ETH/USDT candle on Binance at 12:00 ET on 30 July 2025 is lower than the closing price (Close) of the candle at 12:00 ET on 29 July 2025. Data source: Binance platform, ETH/USDT pair, displaying the closing price of the 1-minute candle. Link: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT (ensure the “1m” interval and “Candles” view are selected in the top panel).

Solana Up on July 30?

The market will resolve to YES if the closing price (Close) of the 1-minute SOL/USDT candle on Binance at 12:00 ET on 30 July 2025 is higher than the closing price (Close) of the candle at 12:00 ET on 29 July 2025. The market will resolve to NO if the closing price (Close) of the 1-minute SOL/USDT candle on Binance at 12:00 ET on 30 July 2025 is lower than the closing price (Close) of the candle at 12:00 ET on 29 July 2025. Data source: Binance platform, SOL/USDT pair, displaying the closing price of the 1-minute candle. Link: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT (ensure the “1m” interval and “Candles” view are selected in the top panel).

XRP Up or Down on July 29?

XRP Up or Down on July 30?

The market will resolve to YES if the closing price (Close) of the 1-minute XRP/USDT candle on Binance at 12:00 ET on 30 July 2025 is higher than the closing price (Close) of the candle at 12:00 ET on 29 July 2025. The market will resolve to NO if the closing price (Close) of the 1-minute XRP/USDT candle on Binance at 12:00 ET on 30 July 2025 is lower than the closing price (Close) of the candle at 12:00 ET on 29 July 2025. Data source: Binance platform, XRP/USDT pair, displaying the closing price of the 1-minute candle. Link: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT (ensure the “1m” interval and “Candles” view are selected in the top panel).

Gosuslugi

Which Russian companies and government services will fall victim to successful hacker attacks by the end of August?

Bank of Russia

Russia Today

Russian Railways

Russian Post

Rosseti

Rostelecom

Sberbank

Gazprom

Rosneft

Moscow Exchange

Messenger MAX

A hacker attack on Aeroflot on July 28, 2025 caused significant financial and reputational damage to the carrier. The incident demonstrated that even the largest Russian companies are not immune to successful breaches of their network infrastructure. The market will resolve to YES for an individual option if from 00:01 UTC 30.07.2025 through 23:59 UTC 31.08.2025 an officially confirmed successful hacker attack results in a partial or complete suspension of the core operations of the company (or government body) or one of its major divisions, and the actual or potential financial losses amount to at least 10 million rubles, as determined by a credible expert assessment. Data source: Official information from the relevant companies or government bodies, or reports by reputable news agencies such as TASS, Interfax, RBC, Reuters, AP, or Bloomberg.

Will WhatsApp be blocked in Russia before the end of August?

Will WhatsApp be blocked in Russia before the end of September?

WhatsApp - a popular messenger from Meta Platforms, Inc. that millions of Russians use every day. In recent years the state authorities of the Russian Federation have tightened their control over foreign internet platforms, periodically restricting access to them. Since 2022, other Meta services such as Instagram and Facebook have been blocked in the country. The market will resolve to YES if by 23:59 UTC on 30.09.2025 at least one of the following conditions is met: - a competent state authority of the Russian Federation officially announces the introduction of technical restrictions that make the WhatsApp application impossible or significantly difficult to use on the territory of the Russian Federation; - these technical restrictions take effect and reliable sources confirm that they were imposed by decisions of state authorities of the Russian Federation. Data source: official information from Russian state authorities and reliable reports from international news agencies.

Less than 16%

What will the Bank of Russia’s key rate be after the September meeting?

16-16,9%

17-17,9%

18% and more

In July 2025, the Central Bank of Russia lowered the key rate by 2 percentage points from its previous level, bringing it to 18%. The Bank of Russia plans to continue cutting the rate, but the speed of future reductions is uncertain. The market will resolve to the option corresponding to the Bank of Russia key rate in effect at 11:59 p.m. UTC on September 12, 2025. Data source: official information from the Bank of Russia website (cbr.ru).

130000

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

120000

The market will resolve as YES for the 130000 option if at any moment between 00:00 ET on 01.07.2025 and 23:59 ET on 31.07.2025 any 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair records a final “High” price of 130000 or higher. The market will resolve as YES for the 120000 option if at any moment between 00:00 ET on 01.07.2025 and 23:59 ET on 31.07.2025 any 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair records a final “High” price of 120000 or higher. Data source: only the BTC/USDT chart on the Binance cryptocurrency exchange website with the “1m” interval selected https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.

4000

What price will Ethereum hit in July?

3700

3500

The market will be resolved to YES for the 3500 option if any one-minute candlestick for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on Binance between 00:00 ET on July 1, 2025 and 23:59 ET on July 31, 2025 has a final &quot;High&quot; value of $3500.00 or higher. The market will be resolved to YES for the 3700 option if any one-minute candlestick for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on Binance between 00:00 ET on July 1, 2025 and 23:59 ET on July 31, 2025 has a final &quot;High&quot; value of $3700.00 or higher. The market will be resolved to YES for the 4000 option if any one-minute candlestick for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on Binance between 00:00 ET on July 1, 2025 and 23:59 ET on July 31, 2025 has a final &quot;High&quot; value of $4000.00 or higher. Data source: the ETH/USDT chart on the Binance cryptocurrency exchange, specifically the &quot;High&quot; values for the ETH/USDT pair, available at the following link: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the &quot;1m&quot; (one minute) time frame selected on the top panel of the chart. Please note: the outcome of this market depends solely on data for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

3.40 What price will XRP hit in July?

4.00

5.00

The market will be resolved as YES for the 3.40 option if any one-minute candlestick for XRP/USDT on Binance between 00:00 ET on July 1, 2025 and 23:59 ET on July 31, 2025 has a final &quot;High&quot; value of $3.40 or higher. The market will be resolved as YES for the 4.00 option if any one-minute candlestick for XRP/USDT on Binance between 00:00 ET on July 1, 2025 and 23:59 ET on July 31, 2025 has a final &quot;High&quot; value of $4.00 or higher. The market will be resolved as YES for the 5.00 option if any one-minute candlestick for XRP/USDT on Binance between 00:00 ET on July 1, 2025 and 23:59 ET on July 31, 2025 has a final &quot;High&quot; value of $5.00 or higher. Data source: the XRP/USDT chart on the Binance cryptocurrency exchange, specifically the &quot;High&quot; values for the XRP/USDT pair, available at the following link: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the &quot;1m&quot; (one minute) time frame selected on the top panel of the chart. Please note: the outcome of this market depends solely on data for the XRP/USDT pair on Binance. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

Solana all time high before the end of the year?

One of the largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization reached its all-time price high on 19 January 2025. At that time, the SOL price on the Binance exchange peaked at $295.83. The market will resolve as YES if, at any point between 00:01 ET on 23.07.2025 and 23:59 ET on 31.12.2025, any 1-minute candlestick for the SOL/USDT pair has a final price “High” above 295.83. Data source: only the SOL/USDT chart on the Binance cryptocurrency exchange website with the “1m” interval selected https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT.

$10 000

What price will Ethereum hit in 2025?

$8 000

$6 000

$5 000

$4 000

The market will be resolved to YES for the 4000 option if any one-minute candlestick for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on Binance between 00:00 ET on January 1, 2025 and 23:59 ET on December 31, 2025 has a final &quot;High&quot; value of $4000.00 or higher. The market will be resolved to YES for the 5000 option if any one-minute candlestick for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on Binance between 00:00 ET on January 1, 2025 and 23:59 ET on December 31, 2025 has a final &quot;High&quot; value of $5000.00 or higher. The market will be resolved to YES for the 6000 option if any one-minute candlestick for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on Binance between 00:00 ET on January 1, 2025 and 23:59 ET on December 31, 2025 has a final &quot;High&quot; value of $6000.00 or higher. The market will be resolved to YES for the 8000 option if any one-minute candlestick for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on Binance between 00:00 ET on January 1, 2025 and 23:59 ET on December 31, 2025 has a final &quot;High&quot; value of $8000.00 or higher. The market will be resolved to YES for the 10000 option if any one-minute candlestick for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on Binance between 00:00 ET on January 1, 2025 and 23:59 ET on December 31, 2025 has a final &quot;High&quot; value of $10000.00 or higher. Data source: the ETH/USDT chart on the Binance cryptocurrency exchange, specifically the &quot;High&quot; values for the ETH/USDT pair, available at the following link: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the &quot;1m&quot; (one minute) time frame selected on the top panel of the chart. Please note: the outcome of this market depends solely on data for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

Will a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas be reached by the end of July?

Israel and Hamas have been engaged in indirect negotiations for a ceasefire for many months. These talks are being facilitated by mediators from Arab countries and the United States. The market will resolve to YES if both Israel and Hamas officially announce a ceasefire by 03:59 UTC on August 1, 2025. Data source: official statements from Israel and Hamas confirming the signing of the ceasefire, supplemented by reports from global news-wire agencies.

Ethereum all time high before October?

The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization reached its all-time high in early November 2021. At that time, the ETH price on the Binance exchange peaked at $4868. The market will resolve to YES if, at any point between 00:01 ET on 23.07.2025 and 23:59 ET on 30.09.2025, any 1-minute candlestick for the ETH/USDT pair has a final price “High” above 4868. Data source: only the ETH/USDT chart on the Binance cryptocurrency exchange website with the “1m” interval selected https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.

Will an “astronomical” divorce happen by the end of August?

Astronomer Inc. is a developer of data-processing tools. Its CEO, Andy Byron, and Chief Product Officer, Christine Cabot, attracted media attention after appearing together at a concert, sparking rumors of an extramarital affair and possible divorces. The question is whether formal divorce announcements will be made by August 31, 2025. The market will resolve to YES if, at any time between 12:00 a.m. ET on July 17, 2025 and 11:59 p.m. ET on August 31, 2025, Andy Byron or his spouse publicly announces an intention to dissolve their marriage and, within the same period, Christine Cabot or her spouse publicly announces an intention to dissolve their marriage. A declaration of intent is sufficient; the legal finalization of the divorces outside the stated window is not required for resolution. Data source: official statements from Andy Byron, Christine Cabot, their spouses, or authorized representatives, or corroborated consensus reports from reputable news agencies such as Reuters, AP, or Bloomberg.

Will the Yemeni Houthis carry out a successful maritime attack before the end of July?

Yemeni Houthis have kept the Red Sea region on edge for several years. The most recent attack on a merchant vessel was reported on July 6, 2025. The market will resolve to YES if, between 00:00 UTC on July 15, 2025 and 23:59 UTC on July 31, 2025, the Yemeni Houthis successfully attack a commercial vessel or a warship. A “successful attack” includes rocket strikes, drone strikes, small-arms fire, boarding, or any other action that causes physical damage to the vessel or its crew. Data source: Official information from international news agencies (AP, Reuters, Bloomberg), supplemented by reputable news-wire reports from major global media outlets.

Will the third GTA VI trailer be released by the end of the year?

Rockstar Games, the developer of GTA VI, has announced the game’s exact release date: May 26, 2026. The company has already released two trailers that have each garnered hundreds of millions of views on YouTube. Another trailer may appear before the full launch. The market will resolve to YES if, from 00:01 UTC on July 17, 2025 through 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025, a third official trailer for GTA VI is published. An “official trailer” is defined as a video clearly labeled and promoted as a trailer for the game. Teasers, gameplay clips, or other promotional materials will not count. Data source: Rockstar Games YouTube channel (https://youtube.com/channel/UC6VcWc1rAoWdBCM0JxrRQ3A), supplemented by the official Rockstar Games website and the company’s verified social-media accounts.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

This market will resolve to &quot;Yes&quot; if Iran&#39;s Supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between June 1, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to &quot;No&quot;. Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market&#39;s timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official government statements, but a consensus of credible media reporting will also be considered.  

Will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet before November?

A possible in-person meeting between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping could influence the course of U.S.–China relations. Analysts believe both political and economic aspects of the bilateral agenda may be affected. The market will resolve to YES if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet in person between 00:01 ET July 21, 2025 and 23:59 ET October 31, 2025, and there is documented direct interaction such as an exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other confirmed personal contact. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO. Data source: official statements from the press offices of Donald Trump and the Government of the People’s Republic of China, or reports of reputable news agencies such as Reuters, Associated Press, or Bloomberg.

Will a crypto hack of more than $100 million occur before the end of the year?

Major hacks and thefts from cryptocurrency exchanges and decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols frequently lead to losses worth hundreds of millions of dollars. Such incidents often have a noticeable impact on the broader crypto market. The market will resolve to YES if, at any time between 00:00 ET on July 23, 2025 and 23:59 ET on December 31, 2025, a crypto exchange, decentralized exchange, lending protocol, or other crypto project suffers a confirmed hack or exploit that results in the loss of digital assets valued at USD 100 million or more at the exchange rate prevailing at the moment of the incident. Data source: Rekt News Leaderboard https://rekt.news/leaderboard/ and reliable reports from reputable news agencies or specialized research firms.

Will Revolut launch its stablecoin by the end of the year?

Revolut is a UK-based fintech company that offers digital banking services and access to cryptocurrencies. Launching its own US dollar-pegged stablecoin would mark a significant step in expanding the platform’s payments and investment ecosystem. The market will resolve to YES if, by 23:59 ET on December 31, 2025, Revolut issues its own stablecoin pegged 1:1 to the US dollar and enables users to transfer or trade it either on a blockchain or within the Revolut app. An announcement without an available transfer or trading function will not count as a launch. Data source: official information from Revolut (website, blog, or confirmed on-chain transactions) or reports of reputable news agencies such as Reuters, AP, or Bloomberg.

Will Citigroup launch its stablecoin by the end of the year?

Citigroup, one of the largest banking holding companies in the United States, is exploring the use of blockchain technologies and digital currencies to optimize payments and customer service. Launching its own US dollar-pegged stablecoin would mark a significant step in expanding the group’s payments and investment ecosystem. The market will resolve to YES if, by 23:59 ET on December 31, 2025, Citigroup issues its own stablecoin pegged 1:1 to the US dollar and enables users to transfer or trade it either on a blockchain or within the app. An announcement without an available transfer or trading function will not count as a launch. Data source: official information from Citigroup (website, blog, or confirmed on-chain transactions) or reports of reputable news agencies such as Reuters, AP, or Bloomberg.

Will Bank of America launch its stablecoin by the end of the year?

Bank of America, one of the largest banking holding companies in the United States, is exploring the use of blockchain technologies and digital currencies to optimize payments and customer service. Launching its own US dollar-pegged stablecoin would mark a significant step in expanding the group’s payments and investment ecosystem. The market will resolve to YES if, by 23:59 ET on December 31, 2025, Bank of America issues its own stablecoin pegged 1:1 to the US dollar and enables users to transfer or trade it either on a blockchain or within the app. An announcement without an available transfer or trading function will not count as a launch. Data source: official information from Bank of America (website, blog, or confirmed on-chain transactions) or reports of reputable news agencies such as Reuters, AP, or Bloomberg.

Will the EU impose new tariffs on goods from the United States by the end of the year?

The European Union and the United States remain major trading partners, yet tariff disputes occasionally arise between them. In 2025, Brussels may consider introducing new or higher duties on U.S.-origin goods, which would affect import costs and the structure of bilateral trade. The market will resolve to YES if, between 12:01 a.m. ET on July 23, 2025 and 11:59 p.m. ET on December 31, 2025, the European Union officially adopts a regulatory act that introduces a new or increased tariff that applies exclusively to goods originating from the United States of America. Tariffs of a global nature (covering all imported goods) and tariffs imposed by individual EU member states are excluded. The effective date of the tariff is irrelevant; only the fact of official adoption within the stated period is required. Data source: Official press releases of the European Commission, or, if unavailable, reports from reputable news agencies such as Reuters, Bloomberg, or the Financial Times.

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

U.S. President Donald Trump has been officially nominated for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize by several legitimate nominators. Unlike other Nobel Prizes, the Peace Prize is awarded by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The announcement of the new laureate is expected to take place on October 10, 2025. This market will resolve to YES if the Norwegian Nobel Committee announces Donald Trump as the recipient of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2025. Data source: Nobel Peace Prize official website — https://www.nobelpeaceprize.org/. Reports from international news agencies may also be taken into account.

Dogecoin all time high before the end of the year?

One of the largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization reached its all-time price high on 8 May 2021. At that time, the DOGE price on the Binance exchange peaked at $0,73995. The market will resolve as YES if, at any point between 00:01 ET on 23.07.2025 and 23:59 ET on 31.12.2025, any 1-minute candlestick for the DOGE/USDT pair has a final price “High” above 0.73995. Data source: only the DOGE/USDT chart on the Binance cryptocurrency exchange website with the “1m” interval selected https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT.

Will the United States establish a national Bitcoin reserve by the end of the year?

The United States already has a broad legislative framework in place for adding Bitcoin to the nation’s reserves. Nevertheless, completing this initiative still requires further legally binding action from Congress and the federal government. The market will resolve to YES if, by 23:59 UTC on 31 December 2025, the U.S. federal government officially holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves. US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. Data source: official publications on the White House website (whitehouse.gov), the U.S. Department of the Treasury, and the Federal Register; if necessary, corroborating reports from Reuters, Bloomberg, AP and The Washington Post.

McDonald's

Which brands will fully return to Russia by the end of the year?

Starbucks

Apple

IKEA

Zara

Uniqlo

After February 2022, many foreign brands left Russia or significantly curtailed their operations. Since then, reports of popular brands possibly returning have surfaced from time to time, but none have been confirmed to date. The market will resolve to YES if, between 00:01 UTC on July 17, 2025 and 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025, the company that owns the brand officially announces the full return of that brand to the Russian market. Data source: official information from the companies’ websites or reports of reputable news agencies such as Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, the Financial Times, or The Wall Street Journal.

Will the United States default before the end of 2025?

The U.S. government finances its debt obligations primarily through continued borrowing in the open market. However, this process is constrained by the statutory debt ceiling, which is set by Congress and subject to political negotiation and partisan interests. Should the government reach the debt limit and exhaust its available cash reserves, the Treasury would be unable to make scheduled payments on outstanding securities. Such a failure would constitute a sovereign default, with potentially severe consequences for global financial markets. This market will resolve to YES if, by 11:59 p.m. UTC on December 31, 2025, it becomes publicly known that the U.S. Department of the Treasury failed to make a full coupon or principal payment on any outstanding Treasury security by its contractual due date. Data sources: Official communications from the U.S. Department of the Treasury and verified reports from reputable international news agencies, including Bloomberg, Reuters, and the Associated Press.

Will the U.S. federal government shut down before the end of October?

Will the U.S. federal government shut down in 2025?

When the government’s money runs out and Congress hasn’t approved new funding, parts of the government have to shut down. The market will resolve to YES if the Office of Management and Budget officially announces the start of a federal government shutdown by 23:59 UTC on 31 December 2025. Data sources: official notices from the U.S. Office of Management and Budget (OMB, omb.gov) and the Office of Personnel Management (OPM, opm.gov), along with reports from reputable news agencies such as the Associated Press, Reuters, and Bloomberg.

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