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Will Bitcoin (BTC) break $96,000 on April 28?

The market will resolve as &quot;Yes&quot; if the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for BTCUSDT on Binance reaches $96,000 or higher during the period from April 28, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, the market will resolve as &quot;No.&quot; Resolution source — The closing price of the BTCUSDT pair on Binance with a &quot;1m&quot; (1-minute) timeframe, chart type — &quot;Candlesticks&quot;: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTCUSDT The market considers only Binance data and does not take into account prices from other exchanges or sources. Please note that this market measures the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not other sources or spot markets.

Will the conflict in Ukraine be frozen by June 2025?

The market will resolve as &quot;Yes&quot; if, by May 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC), an official document is signed between Russia and Ukraine, explicitly confirming the suspension, cessation, or freezing of hostilities.By &quot;signing,&quot; it is understood that there must be a documented written agreement confirmed by both parties.If there is no clear written confirmation from both parties involved in the conflict, the event will not be considered fulfilled, and the market will resolve as &quot;No.&quot; The following sources will be used to determine the event&#39;s outcome:Official publications or statements from representatives of the parties to the conflict, including signed documents or official government resources.Independent international news agencies with a high degree of credibility (e.g., Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, BBC).

Will Trump tighten sanctions on Russia before June 2025?

The market will resolve as “Yes” if, on or before May 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC), an official document, statement, or directive is published by the President of the United States, the U.S. Department of State, the U.S. Department of the Treasury, or another authorized agency confirming either:– the imposition of new sanctions against the Russian Federation, or– the expansion of existing sanctions (including the addition of new individuals, sectors, or restrictions).If no such confirmation is issued by the deadline, the market will resolve as “No.” Source of Resolution:Official publications on the websites of the White House (whitehouse.gov), U.S. Department of State (state.gov), or U.S. Department of the Treasury (treasury.gov), as well as recognized international media (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal), provided they include a direct reference to the original source.

Will the USD/RUB exchange rate break 85 rubles by April 29?

The market will resolve based on the official USD exchange rate set by the Central Bank of Russia (CBR) on April 29, 2025: If the exchange rate is equal to or exceeds 85 RUB per 1 USD, the market will resolve as &quot;Yes.&quot;In all other cases, the market will resolve as &quot;No.&quot; Resolution Source: The official USD exchange rate published by the Central Bank of Russia in the section &quot;Official exchange rates for a given date&quot; on CBR&#39;s website under the &quot;Exchange Rates&quot; section, USD.The market will consider only the official CBR exchange rate and will not take into account Forex or other exchange data.

Will there be a recession in the U.S. in 2025?

Amid global instability and rising trade barriers, economic risks in the U.S. have significantly increased. In April 2025, Goldman Sachs raised its estimate of a U.S. recession occurring within the year to 45%, citing heightened political uncertainty, declining capital expenditures, tighter financial conditions, and new tariffs. Participants are invited to predict whether a recession will be officially recognized in the U.S. in 2025.Market Resolution Criteria:The market will resolve as “Yes” if, on or before December 31, 2025, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) officially declares that a recession began in 2025 — even if the announcement or wording is issued retroactively or clarified later.In all other cases, the market will resolve as “No.” For the purposes of this market, a recession is defined by the NBER as a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, and typically reflected in real GDP, employment, industrial production, and other key indicators. The sole resolution source is an official statement from the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), published on its website: https://www.nber.org/.Supporting sources such as The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, CNBC, and Reuters may be used only if they include a direct reference to NBER’s position.

Will TON’s Market Cap Exceed $13 Billion by June 2025?

The market resolves as “Yes” if Toncoin’s (TON) market capitalization reaches or exceeds $13 billion on or before May 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC), according to the data displayed at https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/toncoin. If Toncoin’s market capitalization stays below $13 billion by that time, the market resolves as “No.” CoinMarketCap serves as the only source for resolution. Data from other aggregators, exchanges, or analytics platforms do not apply. The relevant figure is the “Market Cap” shown on the listed CoinMarketCap page.

Will Toncoin (TON) surpass $5 in April 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing price of any 1-minute candlestick for TONUSDT on Binance reaches or exceeds $5 between April 1 and April 30, 2025, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” Resolution source: TONUSDT chart on Binance, with the 1-minute timeframe and Candlestick chart type selected: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/TON_USDT  Only Binance data will be used—prices from other exchanges or sources will not be considered. Note that this market tracks the TONUSDT price on Binance specifically, not other platforms or spot market references.

Will there be any territorial changes in Russia in 2025?

"his market will resolve to ""Yes"" if territorial changes occur in the Russian Federation by December 31, 2025, at 23:59 (UTC). Otherwise, this market will resolve to ""No.""

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation or a signed document confirming the annexation of new territories by the Russian Federation, or another reliable source of information."

Apple

Largest Company end of 2025?

Microsoft

NVIDIA

Alphabet

Amazon

The market will resolve in favor of the company whose market capitalization is the highest among the listed outcomes as of December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC. Definition of Market Capitalization:Market capitalization is defined as the officially reported value calculated by multiplying the total number of outstanding common shares by the share price at market close on the final trading day of 2025. Source of Resolution:The primary source is the aggregated market capitalization data available at https://companiesmarketcap.com/ as of December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC. If the site is unavailable or presents significant discrepancies, data from leading financial information providers may be used, including but not limited to: Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, and official company filings. Additional Provisions:– Only companies listed in the outcomes are considered. If a company not included in the list has a higher market cap, it will not affect market resolution.– If one or more listed companies cease public trading of their shares on or before December 31, 2025, they will be automatically excluded from consideration.

$50,000 or lower

What price will Bitcoin (BTC) break in 2025?

$130,000 or higher

$150,000 or higher

$200,000 or higher

In 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) once again became the center of attention for investors, analysts, and the crypto community. After breaking the $100,000 level at the end of 2024 and experiencing a record inflow of institutional funds through ETFs, opinions are divided: some predict a price surge to $200,000 and beyond, while others anticipate a correction below $70,000 due to potential macroeconomic shocks.

The market will be resolved based on the "Closing" price of the 1-minute BTCUSDT candle on Binance, recorded between March 26 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC.

The market will resolve as "Below $50,000" if the lowest candle price within the specified period reaches $50,000 or lower. Otherwise, it will resolve as "No".
The market will resolve as "Above $130,000" if the highest candle price within the specified period reaches $130,000 or higher. Otherwise, it will resolve as "No".
The market will resolve as "Above $150,000" if the highest candle price within the specified period reaches $150,000 or higher. Otherwise, it will resolve as "No".
The market will resolve as "Above $200,000" if the highest candle price within the specified period reaches $200,000 or higher. Otherwise, it will resolve as "No".


The final price will be determined based on Binance exchange data, available on the page:
🔗 https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTCUSDT
with the "1m" timeframe and "Candlesticks" selected in the top panel.

Will the US lift sanctions on some Russian companies/banks before June 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. government officially announces the lifting of sanctions on one or more Russian companies or banks from April 1 to May 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC.If no such announcement is made by that time, the market will resolve to “No.” Resolution sources include official U.S. government statements, signed documents, or reports from credible and verifiable sources.

Will Solana's TVL reach at least 50% of Ethereum's TVL in 2025?

In 2025, the competition between Ethereum and Solana in the DeFi sector intensifies. TVL (Total Value Locked) measures the total amount of assets locked in a platform’s smart contracts. Solana is rapidly expanding its DeFi volumes, while Ethereum continues to hold a substantial lead. The market resolves based on Solana’s share of total value locked (TVL) relative to Ethereum’s TVL, recorded on or before December 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC), according to DefiLlama (https://defillama.com/).  The ratio of these blockchains’ TVLs at any moment up to December 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC) applies. Data from other aggregators or platforms are not considered. Only the “Total Value Locked” (TVL) metric is taken into account.

More 10%

Will inflation in Russia exceed 10% by the end of 2025?

Below 10%

In December 2024, the official inflation rate in Russia was 9.5% (according to the Central Bank of Russia).
The market will resolve based on the inflation rate as of December 31, 2025, at 23:59 UTC:
If inflation is higher than 10%, the outcome will be "More 10%."
If inflation is lower than 10%, the outcome will be "Below 10%"
The source of resolution is the inflation figure (% year-over-year) from the "Key Interest Rate and Inflation" section on the official website of the Central Bank of Russia: https://www.cbr.ru/hd_base/infl/

Above 26 139 BTC

Will there be a record-breaking Bitcoin (BTC) transaction by July 2025?

Large transactions on the Bitcoin network often indicate significant capital movements. On February 23, 2024, a new record was set for a single transaction amounting to $1,347 billion — 26 139 BTC. Such operations often lead to noticeable price changes and signal potential market shifts.

This market will resolve as "YES" if an official announcement is made about a transaction exceeding 26 139 BTC by July 31, 2025, at 23:59 UTC.
In all other cases, this market will resolve as "NO."

The event will be resolved based on data from analytical platforms (e.g., Santiment, Glassnode, CoinDesk, ForkLog, or others) confirming the maximum volume of a single Bitcoin transaction on the network before July 31, 2025. Only the largest transaction during the specified period will be considered.

Additional verification will be conducted through the BTC scanner - https://www.blockchain.com/ru/explorer and by cross-checking the largest transactions of the day at https://getblock.net/btc.

Will the Digital Ruble Launch at Scale by the End of 2025?

The launch of the digital ruble in Russia was originally scheduled for July 1, 2025, but in February 2025, Central Bank head Elvira Nabiullina announced a delay with no new date provided. The digital ruble has been in testing since 2022, with a pilot program involving banks, businesses, and individuals running since August 2023. The Central Bank has stated it will only move to full rollout after a thorough review of all technological and economic aspects.


Market Resolution Criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Central Bank of Russia officially announces the launch of the digital ruble for public use on or before December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC.

If the launch is officially postponed beyond that date or no announcement is made by then, the market will resolve to “No.”

Resolution sources: official statements from the Central Bank of Russia, published on the regulator’s official website (www.cbr.ru) or reported by reputable media outlets.

159 and bellow

How many seats will the winning party secure in the 2025 Canadian parliamentary elections?

from 160 to 171

from 172 to 189

190 and more

The market resolves based on the official number of seats obtained by the party that places first in Canada’s parliamentary elections on April 28, 2025.  The official results published on the Elections Canada website (https://www.elections.ca/) serve as the sole source for resolution.  If the first-place party’s seat count falls within one of the specified ranges, the market resolves in favor of the corresponding outcome.

Krasnodar

Who will become the Champion in the RPL (Russian Premier League) in 2025?

Zenit

Spartak Moscow

Dynamo Moscow

Lokomotiv Moscow

CSKA

The market will resolve as "Yes" if the Russian Premier League (RPL) officially announces the winner by May 24, 2025, 23:59 UTC. In all other cases, the market will resolve as "No."
Resolution sources — official documents from the RPL or publicly reliable information sources.

Liberal Party

Which party will receive the highest percentage of votes in the Canadian federal election?

Conservative Party

Bloc Québécois

New Democratic Party

The market will be resolved in favor of the party that receives the highest percentage of votes in the Canadian parliamentary elections on April 28, 2025. The primary source for market resolution will be the election results officially published on the Elections Canada website (https://www.elections.ca/). If two or more parties receive the same highest percentage of votes, the market will be deemed void, and all funds will be refunded. Any disputes or uncertainties in interpreting the results will be resolved based on information from the official Elections Canada website.

More 5%

How will Kazakhstan's GDP change in 2025?

Less than or equal to 5%

For 2024, Kazakhstan's GDP growth (IFO growth) was 4.1% (according to the National Statistics Bureau).

The market will resolve based on the data as of December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC:

If the IFO GDP growth exceeds 5%, the outcome will be “More 5%”. 
If the IFO GDP growth is less than or equal to 5%, the outcome will be “Less than or equal to 5%”. 
The source for this market resolution will be the “IFO GDP Growth” chart on the National Statistics Bureau of Kazakhstan's website, section “GDP”: https://stat.gov.kz/ru/

Will Ronaldo have scored 1000 goals in just his base by the end of the 25?

"If Ronaldo officially scores 1,000 goals before December 31 at 23:59 (UTC), the market will settle as ‘Yes.’

In all other cases, the market will settle as ‘No.’

The resolution source for this market will be public information sources or an official press release."

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?

"This market will resolve to ""Yes"" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to serve as President of Ukraine by June 30, 2025, 23:59 (UTC).
Otherwise, this market will resolve to ""No.""

An official announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before the end date of this market will immediately resolve this market to ""Yes,"" regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be an official statement from the Ukrainian government, a signed document, or another reliable source of information."

There would be an Аltseason

Will There Be an Altseason in 2025?

This market will resolve as "Yes" if a 1-minute Binance candle for SOLUSDT reaches a closing price of $350.01 or higher by December 31, 2025, at 23:59 UTC, or at any time before this from the start of trading. Alternatively, if a 1-minute Binance candle for ETHUSDT reaches a closing price of $4500.01 or higher by December 31, 2025, at 23:59 UTC, or at any time before this from the start of trading, the market will also resolve as "Yes." Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the closing prices of SOLUSDT, which are currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOLUSDT, or the closing prices of ETHUSDT, available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETHUSDT, with the "1m" time frame and "Candlesticks" selected on the top panel.

Above $0.30

What price will Tron (TRX) reach in April 2025?

Below $0.20

Tron (TRX) is attracting attention from major investors and showing increased trading volume, potentially setting up for a significant price move. This market will resolve based on 1-minute candlestick data for TRXUSDT on Binance, between April 1 and April 30, 2025, 23:59 UTC, under the following conditions: “Above $0.30” resolves to Yes if the highest wick of any 1-minute candle hits $0.30 or above. Otherwise, the outcome “Above $0.30“ will be settled as &#39;No. “Below $0.20” resolves to Yes if the lowest wick of any 1-minute candle hits $0.20 or below. Otherwise, the outcome “Below $0.20” will be settled as &#39;No. Resolution source: TRXUSDT chart on Binance with 1m timeframe and Candlestick view: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/TRXUSDTOnly Binance data will be used—no other exchanges or sources apply.

Above 40%

What percentage of the vote will the winning party receive in the 2025 Canadian parliamentary elections?

36-40%

Below 36%

The market resolves based on the official percentage of votes obtained by the party that finishes first in Canada’s parliamentary elections on April 28, 2025.  The official results published on the Elections Canada website (https://www.elections.ca/) serve as the sole source for resolution.  If the first-place party’s percentage of votes falls within one of the stated ranges, the market resolves in favor of the corresponding outcome.

Will a Solana (SOL) ETF Be Approved by December 31, 2025?

Will a Solana (SOL) ETF Be Approved in 2025?

Conditions and Event Execution Rules: The market resolves as “Yes” if, on or before December 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC), the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) formally approves the issuance of at least one Solana (SOL)-based ETF, including either spot or futures products. Otherwise, the market resolves as “No.” Resolution Source: Resolution derives solely from the SEC’s official publications (https://www.sec.gov) and corroborations by recognized financial media (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, CNBC). An ETF qualifies as approved only upon receipt of an official notification confirming the SEC’s approval of the respective product.

Austria

Eurovision Winner 2025

France

Israel

Netherlands

Sweden

Eurovision is Europe’s largest music competition, bringing together artists from dozens of countries each year. In 2025, viewers and professional juries will once again select a winner based on the final voting results. Participants are invited to predict which country will win the contest. Event Conditions and Rules:The market will resolve in favor of the country officially declared the winner of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025, based on the final combined jury and public voting results. Source of Resolution:The primary source for market resolution is the official results published by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) on https://eurovision.tv, as well as corroborated by international media outlets (e.g., BBC, Reuters, AP). The winner is the country that receives the highest total number of points from the combined jury and public vote in the final. Additional Provisions:In the event of a technical error or revision of the results, the final official decision by the EBU will prevail.If the 2025 contest is canceled, the market will be void and all positions refunded.

Will Ethereum ETF Staking Be Approved Before End of May 2025?

Event Conditions and Rules:The market will resolve as “Yes” if, on or before May 31, 2025 (23:59 UTC), the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) formally approves at least one ETF product linked to Ethereum staking yield. This may include a standalone ETF or a modified version of an existing ETH ETF that incorporates staking yield functionality. Otherwise, the market will resolve as “No.” Source of Resolution:Official publications from the SEC (https://www.sec.gov), as well as reporting from leading financial media outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, CNBC), provided they explicitly confirm the approval of an Ethereum staking ETF by the SEC or another authorized U.S. regulatory body.

Labor Party

Who will take first place in the Australian parliamentary elections by primary votes?

Liberal-National Coalition

The market will resolve in favor of the party that receives the highest number of primary votes in the Australian House of Representatives election on May 3, 2025, 23:59 (UTC). For the Liberal-National Coalition, the total votes for all parties within the coalition are counted. For the Labor Party, only votes received by this party are counted. In both cases, only primary votes from voters are considered. The main source for market resolution is the official election results published on the Australian Electoral Commission website (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Additionally, reports from global and major Australian news agencies and media outlets will be considered.

George Simion

Who will advance to the second round of the Romanian presidential elections?

Crin Antonescu

Victor Ponta

Nicușor Dan

Elena Lasconi

As a result of the first round of the Romanian presidential election on May 4, two candidates who receive the highest number of votes will advance to the second round. The market for each candidate will resolve as &quot;Yes&quot; if that candidate is confirmed by the Permanent Electoral Authority of Romania as a participant in the second round of the presidential election on May 4, 2025,23:59 UTC. Otherwise, the market will resolve as &quot;No.&quot; The primary source for market resolution is the official website of the Permanent Electoral Authority of Romania (Autoritatea Electorală Permanentă) at www.roaep.ro/. Additionally, reports from global and Romanian news agencies and major media outlets may be used.

Asia

What region will the next elected Pope be from?

Africa

Europe

North America

South America

No New Pope Elected in 2025

This market will resolve in favor of the region where the next person elected as Pope after Francis was born. If no new Pope is announced by December 31, 2025 (11:59 PM UTC), the market will resolve to &quot;No New Pope Elected.&quot; The primary resolution source will be the official Vatican publication L&#39;Osservatore Romano (www.osservatoreromano.va/en.html), but a consensus of reputable news agencies and media outlets will also be considered.

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